The casual gamer -- at least, the casual gamer willing to front $250 for a console that requires him to flap his arms like a drunken monkey -- doesn't exist.

Let's be honest. This is GameCube 2, with an unproven new controller. And it's called Wii. And it doesn't play DVD movies, doesn't do high-def, doesn't have a hard drive, and the best launch title - Zelda - actually is a freaking GameCube game! Nintendo has been able to pull off a great fraud by selling Zelda as a Wii launch title, when in reality its a GameCube game that's been delayed since, what, last year?

Casual gamers play solitaire and bejeweled. They don't spend 250-plus bucks on a game console.

I hope Nintendo does well. I hope all the console makers do well. But I think Nintendo has its hands full.